← PTM Store Champion at Oinker's Island
Water Tera MageTier 2
at PTM Store Champion at Oinker's Island
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-1-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.1%
avg ELO -9.5 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1253
· median 1253
· range 1253–1253
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1227
Q3 1368
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.6 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
